Modeling Mortality of Individual Trees in a Seasonal Semi-Deciduous Forest

Ano: 2020 | Volume: 27 | Número: 3

Autores: Figueiredo, Lívia Thaís Moreira de; Soares, Carlos Pedro Boechat; Castro, Renato Vinícius Oliveira; Leite, Helio Garcia; Souza, Agostinho Lopes de; Silva, Gilson Fernandes da; Torres, Carlos Moreira Miquelino Eleto

Palavras-chave: probability of mortality; uneven-aged forest; growth models

Resumo Inglês:

The objective of this study was to assess and compare two methodologies to predict the mortality of individual trees in a seasonal semi-deciduous forest located in the municipality of Viçosa, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The data came from 10 permanent plots and were randomly divided into two groups: fitting (6 plots) and validation (4 plots). When assessing Methodology 1, the mortality was considered a dichotomous variable in a logistic model, assuming a value of 1 for a dead tree and 0 for a living tree. In Methodology 2, the mortality probability was estimated by the group of trees for each plot and for each measurement interval. After the analysis, it was observed that Methodology 2 provided more consistent mortality estimates when compared to the mortality estimated by Methodology 1.